- Title
- A behavioural approach to stochastic end use modelling
- Creator
- Thyer, Mark; Micevski, Tom; Kuczera, George; Coombes, Peter
- Relation
- Ozwater '11, Australia’s National Water Conference and Exhibition. Proceedings of Ozwater '11, Australia’s National Water Conference and Exhibition (Adelaide, SA 9-11 May 2011)
- Relation
- http://www.ozwater11.com.au
- Publisher
- Australian Water Association
- Resource Type
- conference paper
- Date
- 2011
- Description
- The Integrated Urban Water Management design paradigm has driven the need to predict urban water use dynamics at the household scale. The Behavioural End-use Stochastic simulator (BESS) fills the current gap by stochastic simulating individual end-uses (outdoor, shower, washing machine, toilet, tap etc) at the household scale at sub-daily time steps. The indoor component simulates differences in household size, uptake rates of water efficient appliances and diurnal variation in end-uses. The model matched observed end-use data. The outdoor component simulates the behavioural response of outdoor water use to rainfall and temperature. Evaluation using long-term multi-house outdoor water use data showed significant improvement in simulating observed variability (underestimation reduced from 56% to 8%) compared with existing approaches. The advantages of BESS for providing reliable estimates of mains water savings in IUWM scenarios and the design/operation of existing water distribution systems was discussed and will be evaluated in future research work.
- Identifier
- http://hdl.handle.net/1959.13/1044303
- Identifier
- uon:14305
- Language
- eng
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